In the face of the difficult markets encountered so far in 2016, Perspectives looks at asset allocation strategies and factors to consider when analyzing the global equity landscape. While the selloff in the first weeks of 2016 has improved equity valuations, higher volatility increases short-term market risk.
Fixed Income vs. Equity - Mid-single digit returns for equity markets-with equities slightly more attractive than fixed income.
Equity - Increased uncertainty around monetary policy and continued downside risk in emerging markets-equity outperformance will come with higher volatility. The overweight in international and emerging markets moves to moderate from significant.
Fixed Income - Expect returns in the low single digits.
Currencies - China will likely be the dominant theme, along with continued volatility in commodity markets.
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